Wed. Dec 1st, 2021

A new UN scorecard finds that countries’ 2030 climate targets are still far from the goals of the Paris Climate Agreement and will lead to a temperature increase of up to 2.7C by the end of the century, despite dozens of new promises in the past days .

With many last-minute targets submitted during the opening days of the COP26 climate summit, the new UN census finds that 152 countries have now published new climate targets, covering 88 percent of global emissions.

But if current climate targets are taken into account, a temperature increase of between 2.5C and 2.7C is projected by 2100, according to an updated Emission Gap Report published on Tuesday.

In the 2015 Paris Climate Agreement, signatories pledged to limit the global temperature rise to well below 2C, ideally around 1.5C, compared to pre-industrial times. Global temperatures have already risen around 1.1C.

Those targets will result in emissions of approximately 51.5 billion tonnes of carbon dioxide equivalent by 2030, which is approximately 500 million tonnes lower than previously projected before the update.

Separate, new calculations of Climate Action Tracker found that existing 2030 climate targets are equivalent to about 2.4C warming, although that would drop to 2.1C if long-term net zero targets are included.

The nonprofit scientific analysis group said many net zero targets recently announced do not have credibility and implementation plans. “These net zero targets are just lip service to real climate action,” said Bill Hare, CEO of Climate Analytics, which is behind the tracker.

The Climate Action Tracker study projects that global greenhouse gas emissions by 2030 will be approximately double what would be needed to limit warming to a maximum of 1.5C.

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