Tue. Jan 18th, 2022

A month ago, We seemed to see the future. The booster was rolled out. School-age children were getting their second shots in time to visit their grandparents over the winter holidays. Life in the United States was slipping into something that seemed normal – pre-epidemic, not normal, but post-epidemic hints.

And then came Omicron variantAfter weeks of hoping for a complete holiday like the Delta Hot Wax Summer in July, we’re still not sure exactly what it does. It’s massive More contagious. It could be or Maybe not It has to be more viral Tear up Medium Spread through the country and through Friends team And sending to the university In the back Online For the spring semester.

This is not what we wanted at the end of the year, but we got it at the end of the year. Inside, like a gift basket that accidentally left too long under a tree, hides a distorted truth: Vaccines, which look like a 2021 salvation, worked but were not enough to rescue us. If we are going to save 2022, we need to have masking, testing and sometimes staying at home, which epidemiologists widely call non-pharmaceutical interventions or NPIs.

Acknowledging that complexity will allow us to practice for the day that Kovid settles into a performance, Local virus. That day has not yet come; Enough people remain weak that we have to be prepared for variants and surges. But at some point, we will achieve a balance that represents how much we are willing to do to control the covid, and how much sickness and death we have to endure to be there.

“The key question – which the world does not have to deal with at this level in living memory – is how we move forward from a rational and emotionally, acute state. [emergency] Transformed into endemicity? Jeremy Farrar, an infectious disease physician who is the director of the Global Health Philanthropy Welcome Trust. “That transition period is going to be very stylish and will look very, very different around the world.”

To begin with, let’s clarify what endemicity is, and what it is not. Endemicity does not mean that there will be no more infections, let alone sickness and death. This does not mean that future infections will cause milder illnesses than they do now. Simply put, it indicates that immunity and infection have reached a steady state. Not enough people will be immune to deny the host of the virus. Adequate people will not be at risk for widespread outbreaks.

Colds and coughs are localized – and since some types of colds are caused by other coronaviruses, it has been speculated that they may be coronaviruses. Finally moderate Very (Coronavirus OC43, introduced to humans in the late 1800’s, took a century to do so.) But the flu is endemic, and in the years before we all began to mask it, it died from anywhere. 20,000 to 50,000 Americans Every year. In other words, endemicity is not a promise of security. Instead, epidemiologist Eli Murray argues, it is guaranteed to happen Be careful All the time.

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